Core concepts
The sealed test
When you first test an idea, Quantis sets its latest months aside. You open them once, when you have finished changing the rule.
On this page
Why
- Every time you change a rule after seeing a result, you fit it a little more closely to the past.
- Fit it enough and the past looks good whether or not the rule has found anything.
- Months that played no part in any of your changes are the one check that fitting cannot reach, so they are kept apart until you have finished.
How long the sealed months are
The sealed months are the last 12 months of a test that covers at least 60 months, and the last fifth of a shorter one, in whole months. A test of under 30 months gets no sealed months: a fifth of it would be under 6 months, too short to say much on its own.
What counts as the same idea
One idea is every test you run of the same kind of rule (the same strategy family) on exactly the same shares in the same currency, whatever its settings, period or costs; a different kind of rule or a different set of shares is a different idea, with its own sealed months.
Opening it
When you are happy with the rule, the full report has a button: "I'm happy with it: open the sealed test". It runs the rule once over exactly the sealed months, beside simply holding the same shares, and keeps the result. It costs no tokens.
After that, every test of the idea says its sealed test has been used.
Plain holding has none
Buying and holding, and fixed weights, have no rule to tune, so nothing is set aside: they run over the years you ask for.
Related
- Education CentreThe Sealed TestThe newest months are kept apart until you finish, so one fair test is left. A worked example, and what it does not tell you.
- Core conceptsProve itProve it runs a finished result through harder tests, to see whether luck alone could explain it.
- FAQ and troubleshootingFAQ and troubleshootingAnswers to the questions people ask most: why the agent asked a question, why a test was refused, why a result changed, and more.
- Education CentreOverfittingWhen a rule fits the past so closely that it has learned the luck, not the pattern. A worked example, and what it does not tell you.
These pages describe how Quantis Trade works and what its tests show about the past. They are not forecasts and not advice.